Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 4.067595 4.369692 4.693091 5.066730 5.488646 5.952848 6.505711
2025-06-01 3.518340 3.927780 4.393871 4.970174 5.672876 6.514541 7.619159
2025-06-08 3.227764 3.698265 4.257040 4.982420 5.919361 7.119427 8.828097
2025-06-15 3.044053 3.560202 4.194386 5.051500 6.214629 7.796388 10.228149
2025-06-22 2.799909 3.319219 3.971873 4.878457 6.151923 7.960401 10.906788
2025-06-29 2.619256 3.141554 3.811025 4.763852 6.144800 8.186620 11.705026
2025-07-06 2.474273 2.998056 3.681151 4.674685 6.156175 8.430601 12.568118
2025-07-13 2.371636 2.902488 3.606709 4.653417 6.260062 8.825347 13.773947
2025-07-20 2.314467 2.863124 3.604565 4.733241 6.523021 9.513174 15.703442
2025-07-27 2.270730 2.838397 3.619505 4.837047 6.832386 10.327106 18.142209
2025-08-03 2.202833 2.775714 3.575125 4.844644 6.980874 10.870863 20.169097
2025-08-10 2.119452 2.686780 3.486858 4.775620 6.989029 11.145580 21.640344
2025-08-17 2.020455 2.574369 3.362577 4.647774 6.894555 11.230093 22.738323
2025-08-24 1.940298 2.486146 3.270630 4.567238 6.879779 11.483872 24.454522
2025-08-31 1.889817 2.438341 3.236466 4.578313 7.033345 12.124336 27.678876
2025-09-07 1.855214 2.411801 3.232640 4.638895 7.286476 13.040967 32.455042
2025-09-14 1.773415 2.311906 3.110046 4.487100 7.108041 12.909357 33.283634
2025-09-21 1.708570 2.234989 3.020045 4.386360 7.022202 12.991748 35.076625
2025-09-28 1.652910 2.169793 2.945527 4.307864 6.973437 13.159107 37.391634
2025-10-05 1.613720 2.128004 2.906215 4.289126 7.045925 13.656143 41.719294
2025-10-12 1.595679 2.117525 2.916276 4.359424 7.313848 14.745052 50.508789
2025-10-19 1.582653 2.114047 2.937203 4.450719 7.639029 16.095369 63.466526
2025-10-26 1.553604 2.084582 2.913895 4.457395 7.775083 16.919976 74.691796